The Trump administration’s view of new EU defense initiatives
The Trump administration has adopted a particularly negative view of EU defense schemes colored by its overall euroskeptical outlook. There is little sympathy for the argument that such defense cooperation represents an important vehicle for advancing overall European integration. In fact, some in the U.S. administration even see EU defense initiatives as potentially limiting U.S. influence on the European continent.
When it comes to the latest iteration of European defense projects like Permanent Structured Cooperation (PESCO) and European Defence Fund (EDF), the principled U.S. reaction has been lukewarm at best, and in some cases even openly antagonistic. While administration officials have gradually gained a better understanding of these initiatives, they have also become more vocal about specific concerns especially related to them.
On PESCO, the Trump administration is largely supportive as long as these projects do not duplicate or take away resources from NATO. That said, the U.S. remains fairly unimpressed with the list of PESCO projects launched so far and thinks that emphasis should be implementing these rather than launching additional ones. In particular, PESCO’s contributions toward advancing military mobility is highly appreciated and is even viewed as a litmus test for PESCO’s usefulness overall. Another major concern relates to role of third states in participating in PESCO projects. The main concern here is that the potential exclusion of American companies might yield inferior EU capabilities and harm alliance interoperability.
Meanwhile, U.S. criticisms against EDF are even more pointed. The U.S. administration contends that the current regulatory formulation of EDF is far too restrictive for third states to participate due to restrictive IPR and export control stipulations. More broadly, the U.S. is concerned that EDF would create a dangerous precedent for the future of European defense industrial cooperation.
Adding further fuel to the fire is some of the language frequently by European officials to describe these initiatives. In particular, terms like “strategic autonomy” and “European Army” have generated misunderstandings and even suspicions on the other side of the Atlantic. They risk reinforcing suspicions about European intentions – such as that current EU defense initiatives aim to undermine the centrality of NATO in European security or that new EU initiatives are merely a reaction to President Trump. Even many Atlanticists in Washington are uncomfortable with the notion of strategic autonomy as it risks feeding into a political narrative that Europeans are ungrateful by saying they want to go it alone.
In sum, the by far biggest American concern has to do with defense industrial rationales and the fear is that EU defense cooperation will shut out American companies. For an American administration with a tendency to link economics and security together and pursue a distinct economic nationalist agenda, the importance of this perspective should not be underestimated.
European defense and transatlantic security in the 2020s
Donald Trump, if reelected in November 2020, is not expected to develop a more positive view of European defense anytime soon. In contrast, a Democratic administration – especially if adopting a more positive view of the European Union as such – would likely take a more supportive and pragmatic stance toward European defense cooperation, though certain defense industrial concerns would likely persist.
The strong and sometimes vocal U.S. opposition to European defense initiatives in recent years is understandable, but is ultimately short-sighted and counter-productive. If successful, new EU defense initiatives have potential to make significant contributions toward strengthening NATO by bringing about more European capabilities and promoting defense technological innovation. There are also concrete examples of how EU defense projects, such as promoting military mobility or countering hybrid warfare, contributes to NATO’s task on the eastern flank.
Ultimately, Washington should recognize that European defense presents an opportunity. As the U.S. struggles to gear itself up for sustained period of great power competition against China, having a more militarily capable European partner is an asset. The overarching goal should accordingly be for Europe to be able to take more responsibility for some of its own regional security tasks and, in doing so, also become a stronger partner to the United States.
Erik Brattberg is the Director of the Europe Program and a Fellow at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace in Washington, DC. He is an expert on European security and transatlantic relations and have previously worked for the McCain Institute, Atlantic Council, and the Swedish Institute of International Affairs.
This article is based on the Carnegie report “EU Defense Cooperation: Progress Amid Transatlantic Concerns” co-authored with Tomáš Valášek. The Finnish Ministry of Defense, the Finnish Ministry for Foreign Affairs and the Swedish Ministry for Foreign Affairs provided funding for the project.